A Comprehensive Analysis of Arabic Natural Language Processing Research: Trends, Topic Evolution, and Research Gaps -- A Bibliometric and Topic-Based Study

Natural Language Processing (NLP) has grown rapidly over the past decade, driven by digital transformation in the Arab world, social media, and large language models (LLMs). Despite this growth, a comprehensive quantitative meta-analysis of the field remains absent. This study presents a large-scale bibliometric and topic-based analysis of 7,120 Arabic NLP papers published between 1960 and 2026, sourced from six collections. We employ BERTopic for topic modeling, regression analysis to identify citation predictors, social network analysis for co-authorship structures, and geographic mapping. Our findings show a significant publication surge after 2020, driven by transformer models and LLMs. Topic modeling identifies 19 substantive themes, the largest centered on text, speech, translation, and recognition. Citation analysis reveals a positive correlation between paper age and citations (r = 0.245, p < 0.001); regression shows that indexing in OpenAlex or Semantic Scholar and institutional affiliation are associated with higher citation counts. Saudi Arabia, the United States, and Egypt lead in research output. A task-dialect gap matrix identifies critical understudied areas, including summarization for Maghrebi, Iraqi, and Sudanese dialects. The largest topic has the highest H-index (87), followed by sentiment analysis (54). Our quantitative approach complements existing qualitative surveys and offers recommendations to prioritize under-resourced dialects and develop culturally aligned benchmarks for Arabic NLP.