Agentic-SQL Revisited: Autonomy-Based Taxonomy and Empirical Benchmark Analysis for LLM Text-to-SQL

LLM-based Text-to-SQL progress is reported across heterogeneous benchmarks, backbones, and inference protocols, making cross-system comparison fragile. We reframe the field as a leaderboard aggregation: we collect the metrics authors themselves report and organize them along an inference-autonomy axis spanning constrained, in-context, iterative, agentic, and reasoning-internalized generation, with traceable provenance for every cell. To anchor the aggregation empirically, we run a focused case study on Spider, comparing 8B open-source backbones with and without chain-of-thought (CoT) supervision against few-shot DeepSeek V3 and GLM-4 baselines. Four patterns emerge: Spider gains transfer unevenly to BIRD and Spider 2.0; autonomy buys robustness at non-trivial cost; reasoning internalization sits between answer-only decoding and externally orchestrated agents; and CoT gains concentrate on Hard and Extra-Hard queries. We release a Python harness mirroring the autonomy axis so that future methods can be added directly to the leaderboard.