Provably Efficient Self-Calibrating Quantum Fault Tolerance

Quantum error correction protects logical information only when every physical operation remains below the fault-tolerance threshold, a condition that must be maintained continuously rather than only at the initial calibration. In practice, however, analog control parameters inevitably drift because of environmental fluctuations. As future fault-tolerant quantum computations are expected to run for days or even months, interrupting computation for repeated recalibration becomes fundamentally impractical. A promising alternative is to integrate calibration directly into computation by repurposing syndrome measurements as a calibration signal (Sivak et al, Nature 2026), but whether such self-calibration can be achieved with provable efficiency remains an open question. Here we establish a theoretical framework for such self-calibrating quantum fault tolerance. We prove that, for a broad class of control-induced errors, the detection rate defines a locally strongly convex surrogate objective for analog calibration with high probability. This geometric property enables a simple and efficient online optimization algorithm using only syndrome measurements collected during normal error correction. We prove convergence to an \varepsilon detection rate within O(1/\varepsilon^2) epochs for time-independent drifts and also establish guarantees for time-dependent drifts. We further show that the convergence rate is independent of the code distance for quantum low-density parity-check (LDPC) codes. Pulse-level simulations of neutral-atom arrays and large-scale circuit-level Clifford simulations confirm these theoretical predictions. Our results establish self-calibrating fault tolerance as a provably efficient paradigm in which the same syndrome measurements simultaneously protect logical information and stabilize the underlying hardware.