Quantifying Depth Sufficiency in Residual Neural Networks: A First-Order Criterion

How can we determine whether a trained neural network is already deep enough? We study this under a fixed function-preserving residual-growth protocol specifying insertion locations, residual families, zero-output initializations, and zero-state first-order updates. We define first-order residual depth saturation as the absence of a strict local decrease from every admissible insertion. We prove residual non-degeneracy is necessary and sufficient: additional depth has first-order value exactly when conditional activation gradients have a nonzero projection onto at least one admissible residual tangent space. This boundary is shared by descent-compatible zero-state updates and invariant under regular local reparameterizations preserving that tangent space. Under residual-signal realizability, raw activation-gradient vanishing exactly certifies saturation. Across ResNets, GPT-2-style models, and continued-pretrained Pythia checkpoints, the maximum activation-gradient norm decreases toward a low-signal regime with depth. Function-preserving growth also achieves converged performance competitive with training from scratch. These results support activation-gradient magnitude as a conservative diagnostic of the remaining empirical first-order value of residual depth.