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Support Selection Beyond Smooth DAG Exactness: Completion Geometry,Score Margins, and Selective Certificates

Smooth acyclicity constraints answer whether a weighted support is a DAG, whereas structure learning asks which support change should be made. Existing analyses establish degeneracy for particular constraint formulas but do not isolate what follows from smooth exactness itself.

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2026
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arxiv.org/abs/2608.08103ARXIV-DEFAULT
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Abstract

Smooth acyclicity constraints answer whether a weighted support is a DAG, whereas structure learning asks which support change should be made. Existing analyses establish degeneracy for particular constraint formulas but do not isolate what follows from smooth exactness itself. At a DAG boundary, we show that minimal cycle completions generate a squarefree monomial ideal containing every restricted Taylor jet of an exact representation. If the smallest completion has q edges, the first possible response has order q for a vector residual and 2q for a nonnegative scalar. Exponentially many constant-scale cyclic manifolds exhibit the same lack of ranking away from the boundary for NOTEARS and DAGMA. We derive the exact selection time for an isolated cycle. When Ψ'(h)\asymp h^ν, the feasibility-only time is T_0(\varepsilon)=Θ(\varepsilon^{-(2ν+1)}); a score margin changes the leading dynamics at scale T_0^{-1} for ν>0, while ν=0 has a logarithmic boundary layer requiring γT_0\log(1/\varepsilon)\to0. Experiments verify this law, and a truth-free separation statistic predicts selection time on 320 official NOTEARS/DAGMA trajectories (Spearman -0.52 and -0.66, permutation p<10^{-4}). For finite samples, a parent-set confidence family and forced-opposite queries certify skeleton and unshielded-collider labels shared by every population optimum of a frozen score. Across 320 runs, every regret bound covers an independent oracle-score audit. None of 3,042 certified skeleton or 2,396 collider labels disagrees with the oracle-score optimum, although 4.4% and 5.5%, respectively, disagree with the generating graph. These results separate DAG feasibility, score-based support selection, and causal identification.